Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.580594 1.801090 2.040976 2.321316 2.639948 2.990865 3.406716
2025-11-09 1.198498 1.489137 1.833088 2.270088 2.810641 3.457603 4.291280
2025-11-16 1.009542 1.331979 1.736479 2.281075 2.995383 3.900952 5.137521
2025-11-23 0.885694 1.227592 1.677517 2.312763 3.186964 4.348719 6.012251
2025-11-30 0.776693 1.123635 1.599575 2.299892 3.304697 4.695773 6.771480
2025-12-07 0.680216 1.022636 1.510215 2.254747 3.363701 4.956281 7.422075
2025-12-14 0.596048 0.928201 1.417575 2.190629 3.382137 5.151585 7.985314
2025-12-21 0.535470 0.861512 1.357304 2.165491 3.451236 5.420769 8.675050
2025-12-28 0.506762 0.840528 1.363253 2.240692 3.678463 5.945474 9.802023
2026-01-04 0.459737 0.784849 1.308439 2.212079 3.734783 6.202311 10.517340
2026-01-11 0.435012 0.763184 1.305849 2.267328 3.930909 6.697341 11.662803
2026-01-18 0.404582 0.728566 1.278003 2.276230 4.047593 7.066925 12.622937
2026-01-25 0.371875 0.690254 1.246227 2.286175 4.186436 7.519539 13.832491
2026-02-01 0.332591 0.636592 1.183456 2.237018 4.220183 7.801067 14.784540
2026-02-08 0.306801 0.604644 1.155776 2.247804 4.362239 8.286854 16.156341
2026-02-15 0.286587 0.580852 1.140296 2.279033 4.544349 8.861463 17.751389
2026-02-22 0.263327 0.548332 1.104502 2.266349 4.638709 9.276316 19.074326
2026-03-01 0.239153 0.511188 1.055618 2.221859 4.663991 9.556818 20.153487
2026-03-08 0.215757 0.473018 1.000627 2.158671 4.643589 9.742083 21.052428
2026-03-15 0.198531 0.446056 0.965849 2.133899 4.700164 10.088111 22.321088
2026-03-22 0.191716 0.441048 0.976704 2.208008 4.975482 10.916054 24.708470
2026-03-29 0.176874 0.416446 0.942767 2.179811 5.022869 11.259641 26.060270
2026-04-05 0.169802 0.408858 0.945515 2.234258 5.260644 12.040314 28.473263